Fooling Some of the People All of the Time, A Long Short Story
by David Einhorn
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Book Summary Information
Author: David EinhornForeword: Joel Greenblatt
Edition: Hardcover
Audio: English (Unknown); English (Original Language); English (Published)
Published: 2008-05-02
ISBN: 0470073942
Number of pages: 380
Publisher: Wiley
Book Reviews of Fooling Some of the People All of the Time, A Long Short Story
Book Review: David Einhorn isn't fooling anyone but himself
Summary: 3 Stars
Overview:
David Einhorn, founder of a successful Wall Street hedge fund, has written a book which describes the controversy surrounding David's hedge fund selling short Allied Capital. While David makes some very damning points about Allied's management, he does not prove his central thesis, namely that Allied engaged in fraud. Despite this flaw, the book is still a worthwhile read.
Background
David's conclusion about ALD were based on his previous experience shorting Sirrom, a company that *was* a fraud and subsequently went bankrupt. Sirrom was in the same industry as Allied, namely loans to small businesses. David concluded that ALD must be a fruad since they, like Sirrom, did not write down the value of troubled assets in a timely manner and management was less than truthful when confronted with this fact (pg. 52). Referring to ALD's managers, David writes "people who are willing to lie about small things have no problem lying about big things" (pg. 64). The rest of the book, almost 300 pages, is David's attempt, unsuccessful in my estimation, to substantiate this claim.
Why "Fooling..." is Worth Reading
Despite the fundamental flaw of stating a thesis that he then fails to substantiate, "Fooling..." is still a worthwhile read for four reasons:
1) David has made a lot of money, and his investment methodology is explained in detail. This is unique, and worthy of serious study.
2) The book documents the inability of regulatory authorities to protect investors from dishonest management practices. Very sobering. Allied did engage in a number of unauthorized accounting practices that victimized it's investors, and none of it's managers were ever punished. In fact, they got rich at their investors expense.
3) It shows that even superstar investors are human. On display is how a very rich man's obsession with proving he is right drove him to stick with a losing position, pouring time and resources into what became a personal crusade. I have made this mistake on a much smaller scale, and I imagine most investors have. Obviously, the book did not intend to teach this lesson, but there it is.
4) Allieds is a "Business Development Corporations" (BDC), and the book explains how BDCs operate and make their money. David opines that BDCs are similar to junk bond funds, but are riskier (pg. 48). BDCs in general are very lucrative and pay high distributions when the USA economy is doing well, and tend to lose a lot of money during a recession. There is a lot of info here that investors can put to work.
Synopsis of Events:
David Einhorn, who is about as successful as a man can be on Wall Street without being Warren Buffet, concluded that Allied Capital is a fraud. He invested almost 8% of his hedge fund selling ALD short (he profits if ALD goes down, loses if it goes up). He then proceeded to try to get regulatory authorities, including the SEC and Eliot Spitzer (at the time the NY Attorney General) to investigate improper practices at Allied. For his efforts, he got investigated himself by these authorities. He recently published "Fooling Some of the People All of the Time" to prove he is right, and the rest of the world (SEC, financial press, investors, the stock market) are all wrong. David calls ALD a "ponzi scheme" (pg. 330), continually raising new capital to pay the dividend. While this claim should be easy to substantiate, no evidence or proof of any kind is offered. David predicts that eventually, ALD's fraudulent practices will cause the demise of the company. When the book was published, despite 6 years of intense effort on David's part to expose ALD, he lost money on his position (when you factor in dividends which he had to pay having shorted the stock).
Epilogue
Today, 8 years after his accusation were first made, ALD is still in business. While it's stock price has under-performed the market, when you factor in the dividends (actually tax distributions) it has been a pretty decent investment. It is hard to imagine how a company that systematically defrauded it's investors could survive 8 years of constant hostile scrutiny from a smart and rich hedge fund, paying hefty dividends the whole time. If it was a ponzy scheme, it should have imploded years ago. As far as I am concerned, this fact, combined with David's lack of hard evidence, disproves his thesis.
Summary of Fooling Some of the People All of the Time, A Long Short Story
A revealing look at Wall Street, the financial media, and financial regulators by David Einhorn, the President of Greenlight CapitalCould 2008's credit crisis have been minimized or even avoided? In 2002, David Einhorn-one of the country's top investors-was asked at a charity investment conference to share his best investment advice. Short sell Allied Capital. At the time, Allied was a leader in the private financing industry. Einhorn claimed Allied was using questionable accounting practices to prop itself up. Sound familiar? At the time of the original version of Fooling Some of the People All of the Time: A Long Short Story the outcome of his advice was unknown. Now, the story is complete and we know Einhorn was right. In 2008, Einhorn advised the same conference to short sell Lehman Brothers. And had the market been more open to his warnings, yes, the market meltdown might have been avoided, or at least minimized.
- Details the gripping battle between Allied Capital and Einhorn's Greenlight Capital
- Illuminates how questionable company practices are maintained and, at times, even protected by Wall Street
- Describes the failings of investment banks, analysts, journalists, and government regulators
- Describes how many parts of the Allied Capital story were replayed in the debate over Lehman Brothers
Fooling Some of the People All of the Time is an important call for effective government regulation, free speech, and fair play.
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